Football · USA NWSL Women · 06/09, 20:00

Prediction: Denver Summit FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Team pages: Denver Summit FC (W) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Denver Summit FC (W)1.18

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.27

1X2

33% 30% 37%

Denver Summit FC (W) Draw NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Denver Summit FC (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWDD

Head-to-head

Denver Summit FC (W) 1–0 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (1 last)

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-2Denver Summit FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (rating 1494 vs 1562).
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Denver Summit FC (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	1.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.78 → 2.91▲	Pinn 2.91
X	3.27 → 3.41▲	Pinn 3.41
2	2.24 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.20

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:29	2.78	3.27	2.24
11:40	2.84▲	3.34▲	2.27▲
14:38 +1’	2.91▲	3.41▲	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Denver Summit FC (W) 1–0–0 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/03/26 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Denver Summit FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	22	12	3	7	39	28	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
7	Kansas City Current (W)	22	10	4	8	35	31	34
8	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
9	Angel City FC (W)	21	8	5	8	32	24	29
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	22	7	2	13	34	43	23
14	Bay FC (W)	21	6	4	11	21	28	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	22	5	5	12	26	39	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Denver Summit FC (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Portland Thorns (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
San Diego Wave (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Utah Royals (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Houston Dash (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Kansas City Current (W)	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Denver Summit FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	6-1	3	1	W
23/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
09/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
03/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
27/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
18/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
13/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
04/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-3	5	1	L

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

WWWDWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
30/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
18/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	4	2	W
16/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	3-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Denver Summit FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Denver Summit FC (W) 33%, draw 30%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Denver Summit FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Denver Summit FC (W) 1.18 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Denver Summit FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.