Football · USA NWSL Women · 13/09, 00:30

Prediction: San Diego Wave (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)

Team pages: San Diego Wave (W) · North Carolina Courage (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

San Diego Wave (W)2.01

North Carolina Courage (W)1.59

1X2

47% 23% 30%

San Diego Wave (W) Draw North Carolina Courage (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

San Diego Wave (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWLDWW

North Carolina Courage (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

San Diego Wave (W) 2–2–2 North Carolina Courage (W) (6 last)

North Carolina Courage (W)0-0San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)5-2North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)2-1San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)1-4North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)0-0San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)3-1North Carolina Courage (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Diego Wave (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.79

Under 2.752.01

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.07▲	Pinn 2.07
X	3.47 → 3.55▲	Pinn 3.55
2	2.98 → 3.05▲	Pinn 3.05

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +8’	2.05	3.47	2.98
03:26 +50’	2.07▲	3.55▲	3.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Diego Wave (W) 2–2–2 North Carolina Courage (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)
26/05/25 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	5-2 HT 2-1	North Carolina Courage (W)
06/10/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	San Diego Wave (W)
09/09/24 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	1-4 HT 1-3	North Carolina Courage (W)
08/10/23 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)
02/04/23 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	23	12	3	8	40	30	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	Kansas City Current (W)	23	11	4	8	37	32	37
7	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
8	Angel City FC (W)	22	9	5	8	34	24	32
9	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	23	7	2	14	34	45	23
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	23	6	5	12	28	40	23
15	Bay FC (W)	22	6	4	12	22	30	22
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Diego Wave (W)	North Carolina Courage (W)
Utah Royals (W)	4-2 W	1-4 L
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Washington Spirit (W)	1-0 W	4-3 W
Kansas City Current (W)	2-2 D	2-3 L
Angel City FC (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Diego Wave (W)

WWLDLWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	11	4	W
22/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-2	2	0	W
15/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
08/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
02/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
18/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
12/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	10	4	L
05/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
31/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

North Carolina Courage (W)

LLLWWWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-3	4	7	L
27/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
23/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
17/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
09/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-3	2	4	W
06/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
01/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	2	3	W
26/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-4	5	1	L
18/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	8	0	L
12/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Diego Wave (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Diego Wave (W) win (47%). Probabilities: San Diego Wave (W) 47%, draw 23%, North Carolina Courage (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in San Diego Wave (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model expects 3.59 goals (San Diego Wave (W) 2.01 · North Carolina Courage (W) 1.59), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Diego Wave (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.