Football · USA NWSL Women · 15/08, 04:00

Prediction: Utah Royals (W) vs Bay FC (W)

Team pages: Utah Royals (W) · Bay FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Utah Royals (W)1.81

Bay FC (W)0.95

1X2

57% 25% 18%

Utah Royals (W) Draw Bay FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Utah Royals (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWLWL

Bay FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWLLLD

Head-to-head

Utah Royals (W) 3–2–0 Bay FC (W) (5 last)

Bay FC (W)0-0Utah Royals (W)
Bay FC (W)0-2Utah Royals (W)
Utah Royals (W)1-1Bay FC (W)
Utah Royals (W)2-1Bay FC (W)
Bay FC (W)0-1Utah Royals (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utah Royals (W) (rating 1521 vs 1447).
H2H favours Utah Royals (W): 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Utah Royals (W)	Bay FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	1.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.74
X	3.96 → 3.96	Pinn 3.96
2	3.81 → 3.81	Pinn 3.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:14 +1’	1.74	3.96	3.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Utah Royals (W) 3–2–0 Bay FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Utah Royals (W)
28/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Utah Royals (W)
16/03/25 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Bay FC (W)
24/08/24 USA NWSL Women	Utah Royals (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Bay FC (W)
17/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Bay FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Utah Royals (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	19	12	4	3	24	12	40
2	Washington Spirit (W)	19	11	3	5	29	17	36
3	Utah Royals (W)	19	10	3	6	32	21	33
4	San Diego Wave (W)	19	10	2	7	24	20	32
5	Portland Thorns (W)	19	9	4	6	32	28	31
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	19	9	3	7	30	26	30
8	Angel City FC (W)	16	7	2	7	24	17	23
9	Denver Summit FC (W)	18	6	5	7	24	24	23
10	Reign FC (W)	16	7	2	7	20	21	23
11	Orlando Pride (W)	19	7	2	10	23	29	23
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	19	5	5	9	22	28	20
13	Houston Dash (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
14	Bay FC (W)	17	5	3	9	18	24	18
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	18	5	2	11	24	35	17
16	Chicago Stars (W)	17	4	0	13	9	33	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Utah Royals (W)	Bay FC (W)
Portland Thorns (W)	5-1 W	0-2 L
North Carolina Courage (W)	4-1 W	3-0 W
Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
Chicago Stars (W)	2-3 L	0-0 D
Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bay FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Utah Royals (W)

WWDLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
03/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	5-1	5	0	W
30/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
26/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
19/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
05/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
30/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
24/05	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
18/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	8	1	W

Bay FC (W)

LLLDWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
02/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-3	3	5	L
30/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
25/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
18/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
11/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
05/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
30/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	4	0	L
24/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
21/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utah Royals (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Utah Royals (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Utah Royals (W) 57%, draw 25%, Bay FC (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Utah Royals (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Utah Royals (W) 1.81 · Bay FC (W) 0.95), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Utah Royals (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.