Football · USA NWSL Women · 16/08, 02:45

Prediction: Portland Thorns (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)

Team pages: Portland Thorns (W) · Orlando Pride (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Portland Thorns (W)1.68

Orlando Pride (W)1.31

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Portland Thorns (W) Draw Orlando Pride (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Thorns (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLLDLW

Orlando Pride (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Portland Thorns (W) 3–3 Orlando Pride (W) (6 last)

Orlando Pride (W)1-0Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)1-0Orlando Pride (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-0Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)
Orlando Pride (W)3-1Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)4-0Orlando Pride (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Thorns (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.3	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88
X	3.68 → 3.68	Pinn 3.68
2	3.48 → 3.48	Pinn 3.48

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:39	1.88	3.68	3.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Thorns (W) 3–0–3 Orlando Pride (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
04/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Orlando Pride (W)
12/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Orlando Pride (W)
25/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Portland Thorns (W)
12/06/23 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Portland Thorns (W)
26/03/23 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Orlando Pride (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	19	12	4	3	24	12	40
2	Washington Spirit (W)	19	11	3	5	29	17	36
3	Utah Royals (W)	19	10	3	6	32	21	33
4	San Diego Wave (W)	19	10	2	7	24	20	32
5	Portland Thorns (W)	19	9	4	6	32	28	31
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	19	9	3	7	30	26	30
8	Angel City FC (W)	16	7	2	7	24	17	23
9	Denver Summit FC (W)	18	6	5	7	24	24	23
10	Reign FC (W)	16	7	2	7	20	21	23
11	Orlando Pride (W)	19	7	2	10	23	29	23
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	19	5	5	9	22	28	20
13	Houston Dash (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
14	Bay FC (W)	17	5	3	9	18	24	18
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	18	5	2	11	24	35	17
16	Chicago Stars (W)	17	4	0	13	9	33	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Thorns (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Boston Legacy FC (W)	4-3 W	0-1 L
Utah Royals (W)	1-5 L	0-1 L
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
Racing Louisville FC (W)	4-0 W	1-3 L
San Diego Wave (W)	3-4 L	1-0 W
Kansas City Current (W)	1-3 L	3-0 W
Bay FC (W)	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Portland Thorns (W)

WLDLWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	4-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
25/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
18/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
12/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	8	2	L
06/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-0	3	4	W
29/06	San Diego Wave (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
30/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
24/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	8	0	L
21/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W

Orlando Pride (W)

LWWLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
01/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	10	3	L
25/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
16/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
11/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	1	0	W
04/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
30/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	1	0	W
25/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
17/05	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Thorns (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Thorns (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Portland Thorns (W) 45%, draw 26%, Orlando Pride (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Thorns (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Portland Thorns (W) 1.68 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Thorns (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.