Football · USA NWSL Women · 29/08, 02:00

Prediction: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)

Team pages: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) · Portland Thorns (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.42

Portland Thorns (W)0.99

1X2

46% 29% 25%

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) Draw Portland Thorns (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDWWD

Portland Thorns (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLDWLD

Head-to-head

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 4–1–1 Portland Thorns (W) (6 last)

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)3-0Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)4-1NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2-0Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)0-1NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Portland Thorns (W)0-0NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.9	1.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.45
X	4.32 → 4.32	Pinn 4.32
2	5.80 → 5.80	Pinn 5.80

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:14	1.45	4.32	5.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 4–1–1 Portland Thorns (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Portland Thorns (W)
23/04/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	4-1 HT 1-1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
10/11/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
24/08/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Portland Thorns (W)
25/03/24 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
06/11/23 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	21	13	5	3	26	13	44
2	Washington Spirit (W)	21	11	4	6	30	19	37
3	Portland Thorns (W)	21	11	4	6	35	29	37
4	Utah Royals (W)	21	11	3	7	37	27	36
5	San Diego Wave (W)	21	11	3	7	29	23	36
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	20	10	3	7	36	30	33
7	Kansas City Current (W)	21	9	4	8	32	29	31
8	Reign FC (W)	20	8	4	8	25	26	28
9	Angel City FC (W)	19	7	5	7	27	20	26
10	Houston Dash (W)	21	7	5	9	28	29	26
11	Orlando Pride (W)	21	8	2	11	25	31	26
12	Denver Summit FC (W)	20	6	6	8	25	26	24
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	21	7	2	12	32	40	23
14	Bay FC (W)	20	6	4	10	21	27	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	21	5	5	11	24	34	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	21	5	1	15	12	41	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Angel City FC (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Chicago Stars (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Bay FC (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
Kansas City Current (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

LDLWWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
16/05	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
10/05	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-1	11	4	D
03/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
30/04	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
25/04	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	3-0	3	1	W
04/04	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	3	0	L
30/03	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
26/03	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	6	4	L

Portland Thorns (W)

WDWWWLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
24/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	8	0	L
21/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
18/05	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
09/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	1	3	L
03/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
30/04	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
27/04	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
05/04	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	2-2	4	2	D
28/03	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (46%). Probabilities: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 46%, draw 29%, Portland Thorns (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model expects 2.42 goals (NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.42 · Portland Thorns (W) 0.99), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.