Football · USA NWSL Women · 12/09, 00:30

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Team pages: Racing Louisville FC (W) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.37

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.53

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Racing Louisville FC (W) Draw NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Louisville FC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWLLL

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWDD

Head-to-head

Racing Louisville FC (W) 1–2–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (6 last)

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1-0Racing Louisville FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2-2Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-0NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)3-1Racing Louisville FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (rating 1499 vs 1578).
H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Louisville FC (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	1.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:47

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.40
X	4.06 → 4.06	Pinn 4.06
2	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:26 +21’	4.40	4.06	1.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 1–2–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
19/10/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
10/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
15/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
28/04/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
02/03/24 Women’s Friendly	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	23	12	3	8	40	30	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	Kansas City Current (W)	23	11	4	8	37	32	37
7	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
8	Angel City FC (W)	22	9	5	8	34	24	32
9	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	23	7	2	14	34	45	23
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	23	6	5	12	28	40	23
15	Bay FC (W)	22	6	4	12	22	30	22
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Louisville FC (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
San Diego Wave (W)	2-3 L	1-0 W
Reign FC (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
Kansas City Current (W)	1-5 L	2-1 W
Houston Dash (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Louisville FC (W)

DWLWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
29/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W
08/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	9	1	W
01/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
30/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
27/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	6	D

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

WWWDWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
30/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
18/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	4	2	W
16/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	3-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 33%, draw 27%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.37 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.53), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.