Prediction: Ilves (W) vs Aland United (W)
Expected goals: 3.72 (Ilves (W) 1.52 · Aland United (W) 2.2). The model gives 25% home, 23% draw, 52% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Ilves (W) is 5-0-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Aland United (W) 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Ilves (W) and 5 for Aland United (W).
| Ilves (W) | Draw | Aland United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 23% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Aland United (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ilves (W) | Aland United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilves (W) 1–0–5 Aland United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Aland United (W) | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Ilves (W) |
| 20/08/25 Finland Cup Women | Ilves (W) | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Aland United (W) |
| 07/07/24 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Ilves (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Aland United (W) |
| 20/04/24 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Aland United (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Ilves (W) |
| 01/08/23 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Aland United (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Ilves (W) |
| 13/05/23 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Ilves (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Aland United (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | KuPS (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | HPS (W) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Aland United (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 16 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 9 |
| 7 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
| 8 | VIFK (W) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ilves (W) | Aland United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| HJK (W) | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| VIFK (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| HPS (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| IF Gnistan (W) | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| KuPS (W) | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aland United (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilves (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
Aland United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 02/04 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilves (W) vs Aland United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aland United (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Ilves (W) 25%, draw 23%, Aland United (W) 52%.
How many goals are expected in Ilves (W) vs Aland United (W)?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Ilves (W) 1.52 · Aland United (W) 2.2), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ilves (W) vs Aland United (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.