Prediction: VIFK (W) vs IF Gnistan (W)
Expected goals: 3.64 (VIFK (W) 1.17 · IF Gnistan (W) 2.47). The model gives 16% home, 19% draw, 65% away. Under 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, VIFK (W) is 0-0-10 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and IF Gnistan (W) 3-0-7 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for VIFK (W) and 1 for IF Gnistan (W).
| VIFK (W) | Draw | IF Gnistan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| Market | 16% | 18% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Gnistan (W) (rating 1379 vs 1444).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VIFK (W) | IF Gnistan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.1 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VIFK (W) 0–0–1 IF Gnistan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | IF Gnistan (W) | 6-0 HT 1-0 | VIFK (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | KuPS (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | HPS (W) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Aland United (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 16 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 9 |
| 7 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
| 8 | VIFK (W) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | VIFK (W) | IF Gnistan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| KuPS (W) | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Ilves (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| HJK (W) | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Aland United (W) | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| HPS (W) | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VIFK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
IF Gnistan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | HIFK (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-3 | 0-9 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VIFK (W) vs IF Gnistan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IF Gnistan (W) win (65%). Probabilities: VIFK (W) 16%, draw 19%, IF Gnistan (W) 65%.
How many goals are expected in VIFK (W) vs IF Gnistan (W)?
The model expects 3.64 goals (VIFK (W) 1.17 · IF Gnistan (W) 2.47), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in VIFK (W) vs IF Gnistan (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.