Prediction: IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)
| IF Gnistan (W) | Draw | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 10% | 11% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK (W) (rating 1452 vs 1647).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Gnistan (W) | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.9 | 3.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Gnistan (W) 0–0–1 HJK (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | IF Gnistan (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | KuPS (W) | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | HPS (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Aland United (W) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 15 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 12 |
| 7 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 8 | VIFK (W) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Gnistan (W) | HJK (W) |
|---|---|---|
| VIFK (W) | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| KuPS (W) | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| HPS (W) | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Aland United (W) | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Ilves (W) | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Gnistan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | HIFK (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-3 | 0-9 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
HJK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | HJK U18 (W) Finland Cup Women |
5-1 | 6-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 12/06 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK (W) win (78%). Probabilities: IF Gnistan (W) 9%, draw 13%, HJK (W) 78%.
How many goals are expected in IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model expects 3.9 goals (IF Gnistan (W) 0.95 · HJK (W) 2.95), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.