Prediction: HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)
Expected goals: 3.43 (HJK (W) 1.95 · KuPS (W) 1.48). The model gives 47% home, 24% draw, 28% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, HJK (W) sits at 9-0-1 (W-D-L), while KuPS (W) arrives on a 9-0-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for HJK (W) and 3 for KuPS (W).
| HJK (W) | Draw | KuPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 15 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJK (W) | KuPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 0.9 | 2.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.1 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.7 | 3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK (W) 3–0–3 KuPS (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | KuPS (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | HJK (W) |
| 21/03/26 Finland Cup Women | HJK (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | KuPS (W) |
| 12/10/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | KuPS (W) |
| 15/08/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | KuPS (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HJK (W) |
| 28/06/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | KuPS (W) |
| 26/04/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | KuPS (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | HJK (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | KuPS (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | HPS (W) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Aland United (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 16 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 9 |
| 7 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
| 8 | VIFK (W) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HJK (W) | KuPS (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ilves (W) | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Aland United (W) | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| VIFK (W) | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| HPS (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| IF Gnistan (W) | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | HJK U18 (W) Finland Cup Women |
5-1 | 6-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 12/06 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
KuPS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Aland United (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HJK (W) win (47%). Probabilities: HJK (W) 47%, draw 24%, KuPS (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)?
The model expects 3.43 goals (HJK (W) 1.95 · KuPS (W) 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.