Prediction: PK-35 Vantaa (W) vs HPS (W)
Expected goals: 3.64 (PK-35 Vantaa (W) 0.92 · HPS (W) 2.72). The model gives 10% home, 15% draw, 75% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Recent form leaves PK-35 Vantaa (W) with 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses over 10 games; HPS (W) has piled up 7-1-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for PK-35 Vantaa (W) and 4 for HPS (W), with 1 draw.
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | Draw | HPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 16% | 75% |
| Market | 10% | 15% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HPS (W) (rating 1416 vs 1572).
- H2H favours HPS (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | HPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PK-35 Vantaa (W) 1–1–4 HPS (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HPS (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) |
| 07/02/26 Finland Cup Women | HPS (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) |
| 30/01/26 Finland Cup Women | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 0-6 HT 0-3 | HPS (W) |
| 19/09/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | HPS (W) |
| 30/08/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HPS (W) | 5-1 HT 1-1 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) |
| 26/07/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HPS (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | KuPS (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | HPS (W) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Aland United (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 16 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 9 |
| 7 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
| 8 | VIFK (W) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | HPS (W) |
|---|---|---|
| HJK (W) | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| IF Gnistan (W) | 0-3 L | 4-0 W |
| KuPS (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Ilves (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| VIFK (W) | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Aland United (W) | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: HPS (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PK-35 Vantaa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | HJK (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 9-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
HPS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | SJK-J (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PK-35 Vantaa (W) vs HPS (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HPS (W) win (75%). Probabilities: PK-35 Vantaa (W) 10%, draw 15%, HPS (W) 75%.
How many goals are expected in PK-35 Vantaa (W) vs HPS (W)?
The model expects 3.64 goals (PK-35 Vantaa (W) 0.92 · HPS (W) 2.72), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PK-35 Vantaa (W) vs HPS (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.