Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · 19/07, 13:00

Prediction: VIFK (W) vs PK-35 (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

VIFK (W)1.48

PK-35 (W)1.59

1X2

35% 25% 40%

VIFK (W) Draw PK-35 (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

VIFK (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLD

PK-35 (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWWWL

Head-to-head

VIFK (W) 1–1–3 PK-35 (W) (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VIFK (W) 1391 · PK-35 (W) 1569

	VIFK (W)	Draw	PK-35 (W)
Our model	34%	26%	39%
Market	36%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PK-35 (W) (rating 1391 vs 1569).
H2H favours PK-35 (W): 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VIFK (W)	PK-35 (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.9	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:07 +7’	2.50	3.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VIFK (W) 1–1–3 PK-35 (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	VIFK (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	PK-35 (W)
22/05/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	PK-35 (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	VIFK (W)
19/02/22 Finland Cup Women	PK-35 (W)	4-1 HT 0-1	VIFK (W)
15/09/19 Finland Ykkonen Women	PK-35 (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	VIFK (W)
13/05/18 Finland Ykkonen Women	PK-35 (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	VIFK (W)

Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HJK (W)	12	11	0	1	32	9	33
2	KuPS (W)	12	8	1	3	29	18	25
3	HPS (W)	12	7	3	2	18	9	24
4	Aland United (W)	12	7	1	4	32	17	22
5	Ilves (W)	12	6	0	6	23	23	18
6	IF Gnistan (W)	12	4	0	8	19	29	12
7	PK-35 Vantaa (W)	12	2	0	10	12	33	6
8	VIFK (W)	12	0	1	11	6	33	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

VIFK (W)

LLLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
05/07	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
27/06	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
14/06	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
29/05	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-4	1	1	L
21/05	Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
17/05	PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-2	1-2	4	0	L
10/05	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	2-3	4	1	L
02/05	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-6	4	4	L
25/04	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	1-2	2	1	L

PK-35 (W)

DWWWWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
11/10	JyPK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs	0-2	4-2	3	1	W
04/10	HJK II (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
28/09	EBK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
24/09	KTP (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs	0-0	2-1	2	1	W
13/09	JyPK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	HJK II (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	3-1	5	0	W
30/08	EBK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
23/08	KTP (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-0	7	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VIFK (W) vs PK-35 (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PK-35 (W) win (40%). Probabilities: VIFK (W) 35%, draw 25%, PK-35 (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in VIFK (W) vs PK-35 (W)?

The model expects 3.07 goals (VIFK (W) 1.48 · PK-35 (W) 1.59), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in VIFK (W) vs PK-35 (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.