Football · Georgia First League · 06/09, 14:30

Prediction: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Gori

Team pages: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi · FC Gori

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi1.31

FC Gori1.04

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Draw FC Gori

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWDLL

FC Gori 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWLLW

Head-to-head

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1–1–1 FC Gori (3 last)

FC Gori1-3Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi0-0FC Gori
FC Gori1-0Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1513 · FC Gori 1490

	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	Draw	FC Gori
Our model	41%	30%	28%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	FC Gori
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.1	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +18’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1–1–1 FC Gori

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	1-3 HT 0-1	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
07/04/26 Georgia First League	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Gori
03/06/25 Georgia Liga 3	FC Gori	1-0 HT 1-0	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	23	13	7	3	29	17	46
2	FC Telavi	23	11	7	5	25	18	40
3	SFC Shturmi	23	8	9	6	21	19	33
4	Aragvi Dusheti	23	9	5	9	24	28	32
5	FC Sioni Bolnisi	23	8	7	8	29	26	31
6	Merani Martvili	23	8	7	8	25	25	31
7	FC Samtredia	23	8	4	11	34	38	28
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	23	7	7	9	25	31	28
9	FC Gori	23	5	7	11	20	28	22
10	Kolkheti Poti	23	4	8	11	29	31	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	FC Gori
FC Samtredia	0-3 L	0-1 L
FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-1 L	4-1 W
Merani Martvili	0-0 D	2-0 W
Kolkheti Poti	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Gareji	2-1 W	1-3 L
FC Telavi	0-1 L	0-1 L
Aragvi Dusheti	1-1 D	0-1 L
SFC Shturmi	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gori (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

DWWDLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
22/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
15/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
08/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
22/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
17/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
13/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	0	8	W
24/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	3-1	5	8	W
20/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

FC Gori

LLLLDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
08/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	4-1	5	2	W
22/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
13/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
30/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
24/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-1	1-3	4	8	L
20/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Gori?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odishi 1919 Zugdidi win (42%). Probabilities: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 42%, draw 29%, FC Gori 29%.

How many goals are expected in Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Gori?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1.31 · FC Gori 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Gori?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.