Football · Georgia First League · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Gori vs FC Telavi

Team pages: FC Gori · FC Telavi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

FC Gori1.04

FC Telavi1.1

1X2

34% 30% 36%

FC Gori Draw FC Telavi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gori 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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FC Telavi 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Gori 0–1–1 FC Telavi (2 last)

FC Telavi1-0FC Gori
FC Gori1-1FC Telavi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gori 1514 · FC Telavi 1530

	FC Gori	Draw	FC Telavi
Our model	32%	32%	35%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gori	FC Telavi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	2.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:14 +42’	2.60	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gori 0–1–1 FC Telavi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Gori
17/04/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Telavi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	24	13	8	3	32	20	47
2	FC Telavi	24	11	7	6	25	21	40
3	SFC Shturmi	24	9	9	6	25	22	36
4	Aragvi Dusheti	24	9	5	10	27	32	32
5	FC Sioni Bolnisi	24	8	8	8	32	29	32
6	Merani Martvili	24	8	7	9	25	27	31
7	FC Samtredia	24	9	4	11	37	38	31
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	24	7	7	10	27	34	28
9	FC Gori	24	6	7	11	23	30	25
10	Kolkheti Poti	24	5	8	11	31	31	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gori	FC Telavi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	3-2 W	1-0 W
SFC Shturmi	3-1 W	2-0 W
Aragvi Dusheti	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Samtredia	0-1 L	0-3 L
FC Sioni Bolnisi	4-1 W	1-2 L
Merani Martvili	2-0 W	1-0 W
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Gareji	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gori (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gori

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
29/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
08/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	4-1	5	2	W
22/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
13/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
30/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
24/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-1	1-3	4	8	L

FC Telavi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-3	8	10	L
29/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-1	1-2	8	6	L
22/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
15/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
08/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
22/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/06	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
13/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
30/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
24/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	2-0	3-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gori vs FC Telavi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Telavi win (36%). Probabilities: FC Gori 34%, draw 30%, FC Telavi 36%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gori vs FC Telavi?

The model expects 2.14 goals (FC Gori 1.04 · FC Telavi 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gori vs FC Telavi?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.