Prediction: Greenville Triumph SC vs Richmond Kickers
| Greenville Triumph SC | Draw | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Greenville Triumph SC (rating 1473 vs 1412).
- H2H favours Greenville Triumph SC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Greenville Triumph SC | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Greenville Triumph SC 3–2–1 Richmond Kickers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Richmond Kickers |
| 21/07/25 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Richmond Kickers |
| 03/05/25 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 17/08/24 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Richmond Kickers |
| 21/07/24 USA USL Cup | Richmond Kickers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 19/05/24 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Greenville Triumph SC |
Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston Battery | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Loudoun United FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Greenville Triumph SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Greenville Triumph SC | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Loudoun United FC | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Greenville Triumph SC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Greenville Triumph SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Charlotte Independence USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-3 | 0-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Richmond Kickers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 28/05 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Charleston Battery USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Greenville Triumph SC vs Richmond Kickers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Greenville Triumph SC win (48%). Probabilities: Greenville Triumph SC 48%, draw 26%, Richmond Kickers 26%.
How many goals are expected in Greenville Triumph SC vs Richmond Kickers?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Greenville Triumph SC 1.53 · Richmond Kickers 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Greenville Triumph SC vs Richmond Kickers?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.