Football · USA USL Cup · 11/07, 21:00

Prediction: Oakland Roots vs Spokane Velocity FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Oakland Roots1.43
Spokane Velocity FC1.26
1X2
42% 25% 33%
Oakland Roots Draw Spokane Velocity FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oakland Roots 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWDDWL
Spokane Velocity FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLLWLL
Head-to-head
Oakland Roots 0–1 Spokane Velocity FC (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oakland Roots 1492 · Spokane Velocity FC 1476
Oakland RootsDrawSpokane Velocity FC
Our model40%28%32%
Market43%23%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oakland RootsSpokane Velocity FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.40.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.22 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oakland Roots 001 Spokane Velocity FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/04/25
USA USL Cup
Spokane Velocity FC2-1
HT 2-0
Oakland Roots

Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 1

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sacramento Republic 220 008
2 Spokane Velocity FC 321 006
3 AC Boise 211 005
4 Oakland Roots 211 004
5 Monterey Bay FC 101 003
6 Las Vegas Lights FC 202 001

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oakland Roots

DWLLLWDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 New Mexico United
USA USL Championship
0-2 1-2 34 L
21/06 Phoenix Rising FC
USA USL Championship
0-0 4-3 27 W
17/06 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Championship
0-1 1-1 106 D
14/06 Miami FC
USA USL Championship
0-0 0-0 77 D
07/06 Las Vegas Lights FC
USA USL Cup
1-0 2-0 63 W
31/05 Colorado Switchbacks FC
USA USL Championship
0-1 0-1 30 L
24/05 Orange County SC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-3 63 L
17/05 Sacramento Republic
USA USL Cup
0-0 0-1 11 L
10/05 El Paso Locomotive FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-1 64 W
02/05 Loudoun United FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-2 86 D

Spokane Velocity FC

WWWLWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-3 43 L
02/07 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-1 125 L
25/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
1-1 2-1 41 W
21/06 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-4 104 L
14/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-1 45 L
07/06 AC Boise
USA USL Cup
0-0 2-1 44 W
31/05 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
1-0 1-2 52 L
25/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 23 W
18/05 Las Vegas Lights FC
USA USL Cup
1-0 1-0 26 W
11/05 FC Naples
USA USL League One
1-0 2-1 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oakland Roots vs Spokane Velocity FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oakland Roots win (42%). Probabilities: Oakland Roots 42%, draw 25%, Spokane Velocity FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Oakland Roots vs Spokane Velocity FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Oakland Roots 1.43 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.26), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Oakland Roots vs Spokane Velocity FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.