Football · USA USL Cup · 12/07, 01:30
Prediction: Charleston Battery vs Charlotte Independence
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Charleston Battery2.07
Charlotte Independence1.22
1X2
Charleston Battery
Draw
Charlotte Independence
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Charleston Battery
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Charlotte Independence
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Charleston Battery
1–2–3
Charlotte Independence
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charleston Battery 1560 · Charlotte Independence 1593
| Charleston Battery | Draw | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Charlotte Independence: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charleston Battery | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.9 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charleston Battery 1–2–3 Charlotte Independence
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 USA US Open Cup | Charlotte Independence | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Charleston Battery |
| 26/04/23 USA US Open Cup | Charleston Battery | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Charlotte Independence |
| 17/10/21 USA USL Championship | Charlotte Independence | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Charleston Battery |
| 24/07/21 USA USL Championship | Charleston Battery | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Charlotte Independence |
| 24/06/21 USA USL Championship | Charlotte Independence | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Charleston Battery |
| 15/05/21 USA USL Championship | Charleston Battery | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Charlotte Independence |
Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston Battery | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Loudoun United FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Greenville Triumph SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charleston Battery
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Richmond Kickers USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
Charlotte Independence
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charleston Battery vs Charlotte Independence?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Charleston Battery win (56%). Probabilities: Charleston Battery 56%, draw 23%, Charlotte Independence 21%.
How many goals are expected in Charleston Battery vs Charlotte Independence?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Charleston Battery 2.07 · Charlotte Independence 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Charleston Battery vs Charlotte Independence?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.