Football · South Korea K League 1 · 18/07, 12:30
Prediction: Incheon Utd vs Jeonbuk Motors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Incheon Utd1.2
Jeonbuk Motors1.1
1X2
Incheon Utd
Draw
Jeonbuk Motors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Incheon Utd
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Jeonbuk Motors
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Incheon Utd
2–3–1
Jeonbuk Motors
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeonbuk Motors (rating 1499 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Incheon Utd: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Incheon Utd | Jeonbuk Motors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 2–3–1 Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Incheon Utd |
| 02/11/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 24/08/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 16/06/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 01/05/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 12/11/23 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Pohang Steelers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Incheon Utd | Jeonbuk Motors |
|---|---|---|
| FC Anyang | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Gwangju FC | 4-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Pohang Steelers | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gangwon FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Jeju United | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Bucheon | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Jeonbuk Motors (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs Jeonbuk Motors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (37%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 37%, draw 31%, Jeonbuk Motors 32%.
How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Incheon Utd 1.2 · Jeonbuk Motors 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.