Football · South Korea K League 1 · 26/07, 12:30

Prediction: FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

FC Anyang0.97

Gangwon FC1.24

1X2

28% 31% 41%

FC Anyang Draw Gangwon FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Anyang 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDDDWLWD

Gangwon FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWDWD

Head-to-head

FC Anyang 2–3–1 Gangwon FC (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Anyang 1513 · Gangwon FC 1564

	FC Anyang	Draw	Gangwon FC
Our model	27%	31%	41%
Market	28%	31%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1513 vs 1564).
H2H favours FC Anyang: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Anyang	Gangwon FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.8	3.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:27 +1’	3.30	3.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Anyang 2–3–1 Gangwon FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Anyang
05/10/25 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Anyang
28/05/25 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-3 HT 0-2	FC Anyang
06/04/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Anyang	2-0 HT 0-0	Gangwon FC
28/09/16 South Korea K League 2	Gangwon FC	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Anyang
03/09/16 South Korea K League 2	FC Anyang	0-0 HT 0-0	Gangwon FC

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	18	12	3	3	31	13	39
2	Gangwon FC	18	8	7	3	23	11	31
3	Jeonbuk Motors	18	8	5	5	25	16	29
4	Ulsan HD	18	8	4	6	26	26	28
5	Pohang Steelers	18	8	4	6	19	16	28
6	FC Anyang	18	5	9	4	23	20	24
7	Incheon Utd	18	7	3	8	22	19	24
8	Jeju United	18	6	5	7	16	18	23
9	Daejeon Hana Citizen	18	4	7	7	21	20	19
10	Bucheon	18	4	7	7	15	21	19
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	18	2	10	6	17	25	16
12	Gwangju FC	18	1	6	11	9	42	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Anyang	Gangwon FC
Gwangju FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Incheon Utd	1-0 W	1-0 W
Pohang Steelers	2-3 L	1-1 D
Jeju United	2-1 W	1-1 D
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2-2 D	2-0 W
Jeonbuk Motors	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Seoul	0-0 D	0-0 D
Ulsan HD	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	4 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Anyang

DWLDDDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
12/07	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
04/07	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-3	1	5	L
17/05	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
13/05	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-2	1	3	D
10/05	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
05/05	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
02/05	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
26/04	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	3-0	5-2	2	8	W
22/04	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-1	1	3	D

Gangwon FC

LWDDWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
18/07	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-0	12	6	W
12/07	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
04/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
17/05	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
12/05	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
09/05	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/05	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
02/05	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
25/04	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gangwon FC win (41%). Probabilities: FC Anyang 28%, draw 31%, Gangwon FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC?

The model expects 2.21 goals (FC Anyang 0.97 · Gangwon FC 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.