Football · South Korea K League 1 · 25/07, 12:30
Prediction: Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Pohang Steelers0.98
Jeonbuk Motors1.2
1X2
Pohang Steelers
Draw
Jeonbuk Motors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pohang Steelers
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Jeonbuk Motors
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pohang Steelers
1–2–3
Jeonbuk Motors
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pohang Steelers 1551 · Jeonbuk Motors 1525
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Jeonbuk Motors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Jeonbuk Motors: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pohang Steelers | Jeonbuk Motors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pohang Steelers 1–2–3 Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Pohang Steelers |
| 22/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 24/08/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 19/07/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 16/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Pohang Steelers |
| 17/08/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Pohang Steelers |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 39 |
| 2 | Gangwon FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 19 | 24 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pohang Steelers | Jeonbuk Motors |
|---|---|---|
| Jeju United | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Gwangju FC | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| FC Anyang | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Bucheon | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Incheon Utd | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gangwon FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Ulsan HD | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Jeonbuk Motors win (40%). Probabilities: Pohang Steelers 29%, draw 31%, Jeonbuk Motors 40%.
How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Pohang Steelers 0.98 · Jeonbuk Motors 1.2), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.