Football · South Korea K League 1 · 19/07, 12:30
Prediction: FC Anyang vs Gwangju FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
FC Anyang1.78
Gwangju FC0.63
1X2
FC Anyang
Draw
Gwangju FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Anyang
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Gwangju FC
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Anyang
1–1–4
Gwangju FC
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Anyang (rating 1517 vs 1400).
- H2H favours Gwangju FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Anyang | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 0.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Anyang 1–1–4 Gwangju FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-5 HT 0-3 | FC Anyang |
| 25/10/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Anyang |
| 28/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 28/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Gwangju FC |
| 01/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Anyang |
| 14/09/22 South Korea K League 2 | FC Anyang | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Gwangju FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Pohang Steelers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Ulsan HD | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 23 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Anyang | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| Incheon Utd | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Pohang Steelers | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| FC Seoul | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Ulsan HD | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Anyang (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Anyang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Gwangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Anyang vs Gwangju FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Anyang win (64%). Probabilities: FC Anyang 64%, draw 24%, Gwangju FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in FC Anyang vs Gwangju FC?
The model expects 2.41 goals (FC Anyang 1.78 · Gwangju FC 0.63), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Anyang vs Gwangju FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.