Football · South Korea K League 1 · 23/08, 12:30
Prediction: Gwangju FC vs Incheon Utd
Team pages: Gwangju FC · Incheon Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Gwangju FC1.25
Incheon Utd1.09
1X2
Gwangju FC
Draw
Incheon Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gwangju FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Incheon Utd
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gwangju FC
1–1–4
Incheon Utd
(6 last)
- Incheon Utd4-0Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC3-2Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd1-0Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC0-2Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd1-1Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC2-3Incheon Utd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Incheon Utd: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gwangju FC | Incheon Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gwangju FC 1–1–4 Incheon Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 07/03/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Incheon Utd |
| 27/10/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 14/07/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Incheon Utd |
| 25/05/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 03/04/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Incheon Utd |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 33 | 37 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 35 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 34 |
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 25 | 31 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 8 | Incheon Utd | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 27 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gwangju FC | Incheon Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Bucheon | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Anyang | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Ulsan HD | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gwangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Cheonan City South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Gimpo FC South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gwangju FC vs Incheon Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gwangju FC win (39%). Probabilities: Gwangju FC 39%, draw 31%, Incheon Utd 31%.
How many goals are expected in Gwangju FC vs Incheon Utd?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Gwangju FC 1.25 · Incheon Utd 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gwangju FC vs Incheon Utd?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.