Football · South Korea K League 1 · 30/08, 12:30

Prediction: Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers

Team pages: Gangwon FC · Pohang Steelers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Gangwon FC1.36

Pohang Steelers0.73

1X2

51% 29% 20%

Gangwon FC Draw Pohang Steelers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Gangwon FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWDLLW

Pohang Steelers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Gangwon FC 3–1–2 Pohang Steelers (6 last)

Gangwon FC1-1Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers1-0Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC1-0Pohang Steelers
Gangwon FC1-0Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers2-1Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC2-1Pohang Steelers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gangwon FC 1540 · Pohang Steelers 1497

	Gangwon FC	Draw	Pohang Steelers
Our model	51%	31%	19%
Market	52%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1540 vs 1497).
H2H favours Gangwon FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gangwon FC	Pohang Steelers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.2	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.30

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.77

2 (+0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:55 +4’	1.75	3.30	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangwon FC 3–1–2 Pohang Steelers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Pohang Steelers
28/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-0 HT 0-0	Gangwon FC
30/11/25 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Pohang Steelers
31/08/25 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Pohang Steelers
01/06/25 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	2-1 HT 1-1	Gangwon FC
23/02/25 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Pohang Steelers

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	24	15	5	4	46	19	50
2	Ulsan HD	24	11	4	9	37	34	37
3	Jeonbuk Motors	24	10	7	7	31	22	37
4	Gangwon FC	23	9	8	6	28	22	35
5	Jeju SK	24	9	8	7	27	24	35
6	Incheon Utd	23	9	6	8	30	25	33
7	Pohang Steelers	24	9	4	11	22	28	31
8	FC Anyang	24	7	9	8	30	37	30
9	Bucheon	24	7	9	8	27	27	30
10	Daejeon Hana Citizen	24	7	8	9	32	28	29
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	24	4	14	6	23	29	26
12	Gwangju FC	24	1	8	15	12	50	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gangwon FC	Pohang Steelers
Ulsan HD	3-2 W	0-2 L
Bucheon	0-3 L	0-3 L
FC Anyang	1-2 L	3-2 W
Jeju United	1-1 D	1-2 L
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2-0 W	0-1 L
FC Seoul	0-0 D	1-3 L
Jeonbuk Motors	2-1 W	0-2 L
Gwangju FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangwon FC

DWWWDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
01/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-3	6	6	L
26/07	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-2	10	2	L
21/07	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
18/07	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-0	12	6	W
12/07	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
04/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
17/05	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
12/05	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
09/05	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Pohang Steelers

WWLLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
22/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
15/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
01/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
25/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
22/07	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
18/07	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
11/07	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
04/07	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	1-1	3-2	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangwon FC win (51%). Probabilities: Gangwon FC 51%, draw 29%, Pohang Steelers 20%.

How many goals are expected in Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Gangwon FC 1.36 · Pohang Steelers 0.73), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.