Football · South Korea K League 1 · 26/08, 12:30
Prediction: Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC
Team pages: Gangwon FC · Gwangju FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Gangwon FC1.53
Gwangju FC0.53
1X2
Gangwon FC
Draw
Gwangju FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gangwon FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Gwangju FC
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gangwon FC
5–1–0
Gwangju FC
(6 last)
- Gwangju FC0-0Gangwon FC
- Gangwon FC3-0Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC0-1Gangwon FC
- Gwangju FC0-1Gangwon FC
- Gangwon FC1-0Gwangju FC
- Gangwon FC3-2Gwangju FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1537 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Gangwon FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gangwon FC | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.2 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangwon FC 5–1–0 Gwangju FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 04/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 23/08/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 25/05/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 13/04/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 18/08/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Gwangju FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 19 | 50 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 37 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 37 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 35 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 31 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 30 |
| 8 | Incheon Utd | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 30 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gangwon FC | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ulsan HD | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Bucheon | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Anyang | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Jeju United | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Seoul | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Gwangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangwon FC win (61%). Probabilities: Gangwon FC 61%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Gangwon FC 1.53 · Gwangju FC 0.53), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.