Football · South Korea K League 1 · 29/08, 12:30

Prediction: Bucheon vs FC Anyang

Team pages: Bucheon · FC Anyang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Bucheon1.38

FC Anyang1.39

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Bucheon Draw FC Anyang

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bucheon 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLDWDWWL

FC Anyang 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Bucheon 1–2–3 FC Anyang (6 last)

Bucheon2-3FC Anyang
FC Anyang0-1Bucheon
Bucheon0-0FC Anyang
Bucheon1-2FC Anyang
FC Anyang3-0Bucheon
Bucheon1-1FC Anyang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bucheon 1531 · FC Anyang 1480

	Bucheon	Draw	FC Anyang
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bucheon (rating 1531 vs 1480).
H2H favours FC Anyang: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bucheon	FC Anyang
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:44 +3’	2.60	3.20	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bucheon 1–2–3 FC Anyang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/07/26 South Korea K League 1	Bucheon	2-3 HT 1-1	FC Anyang
02/05/26 South Korea K League 1	FC Anyang	0-1 HT 0-0	Bucheon
02/11/24 South Korea K League 2	Bucheon	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Anyang
30/06/24 South Korea K League 2	Bucheon	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Anyang
10/04/24 South Korea K League 2	FC Anyang	3-0 HT 1-0	Bucheon
21/10/23 South Korea K League 2	Bucheon	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Anyang

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	24	15	5	4	46	19	50
2	Ulsan HD	24	11	4	9	37	34	37
3	Jeonbuk Motors	24	10	7	7	31	22	37
4	Gangwon FC	23	9	8	6	28	22	35
5	Jeju SK	24	9	8	7	27	24	35
6	Incheon Utd	23	9	6	8	30	25	33
7	Pohang Steelers	24	9	4	11	22	28	31
8	FC Anyang	24	7	9	8	30	37	30
9	Bucheon	24	7	9	8	27	27	30
10	Daejeon Hana Citizen	24	7	8	9	32	28	29
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	24	4	14	6	23	29	26
12	Gwangju FC	24	1	8	15	12	50	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bucheon	FC Anyang
FC Seoul	0-1 L	0-7 L
Pohang Steelers	3-0 W	2-3 L
Gwangju FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Gangwon FC	3-0 W	2-1 W
Incheon Utd	1-1 D	1-0 W
Daejeon Hana Citizen	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bucheon (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bucheon

DDLLDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
22/08	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
16/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	2-0	3-2	5	5	W
08/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
01/08	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-0	5	6	W
26/07	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
22/07	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
19/07	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	5	7	L
11/07	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
04/07	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-2	1	5	D

FC Anyang

WLWDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-5	0-7	1	5	L
15/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
08/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
02/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-3	1	1	L
26/07	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
22/07	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	1-1	3-2	5	4	W
19/07	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
12/07	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
04/07	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
17/05	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bucheon vs FC Anyang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bucheon win (36%). Probabilities: Bucheon 36%, draw 28%, FC Anyang 36%.

How many goals are expected in Bucheon vs FC Anyang?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Bucheon 1.38 · FC Anyang 1.39), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bucheon vs FC Anyang?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.