Football · South Korea K League 1 · 04/07, 12:30

Prediction: Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC

Expected goals: 1.86 (Jeonbuk Motors 1.06 · Gangwon FC 0.8). The model gives 41% home, 32% draw, 27% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.

On recent form, Jeonbuk Motors is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Gangwon FC 6-3-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Jeonbuk Motors won 3 and Gangwon FC 0, with 3 draws.

41%1
41% 32% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeonbuk Motors 1554 · Gangwon FC 1546
Jeonbuk MotorsDrawGangwon FC
Our model40%34%26%
Market42%31%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.86Jeonbuk Motors 1.06 · Gangwon FC 0.8
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Jeonbuk Motors: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jeonbuk MotorsGangwon FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.71.6 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.72.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.14.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonbuk Motors 330 Gangwon FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
South Korea K League 1
Gangwon FC1-1
HT 0-1
Jeonbuk Motors
01/11/25
South Korea K League 1
Gangwon FC0-0
HT 0-0
Jeonbuk Motors
27/08/25
South Korea Cup
Gangwon FC1-2
HT 0-0
Jeonbuk Motors
20/08/25
South Korea Cup
Jeonbuk Motors1-1
HT 0-0
Gangwon FC
23/07/25
South Korea K League 1
Jeonbuk Motors2-0
HT 2-0
Gangwon FC
13/06/25
South Korea K League 1
Gangwon FC0-3
HT 0-2
Jeonbuk Motors

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Seoul 151023 271232
2 Ulsan HD 15825 222026
3 Jeonbuk Motors 15753 211226
4 Gangwon FC 15663 191024
5 Pohang Steelers 15645 121222
6 Incheon Utd 15636 211721
7 FC Anyang 15483 191620
8 Jeju United 15537 131618
9 Bucheon 15456 111517
10 Daejeon Hana Citizen 15447 171616
11 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 15285 152114
12 Gwangju FC 151410 7377

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJeonbuk MotorsGangwon FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-0 W 3-0 W
Gwangju FC 4-0 W 0-0 D
Pohang Steelers 3-2 W 1-1 D
Incheon Utd 1-2 L 1-0 W
FC Seoul 0-1 L 1-2 L
Ulsan HD 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeonbuk Motors

WLDLWWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 63 W
13/05 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 78 D
10/05 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-1 32 D
05/05 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 4-0 45 W
02/05 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-0 62 W
26/04 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
2-1 3-2 55 W
21/04 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
1-1 1-2 75 L
18/04 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-1 57 D
11/04 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-1 11 L
04/04 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-0 35 W

Gangwon FC

WWDWLWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
2-0 2-0 36 W
12/05 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
0-0 2-0 61 W
09/05 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 64 D
05/05 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-1 54 D
02/05 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-0 55 W
25/04 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-2 75 L
21/04 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
2-0 3-0 16 W
18/04 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-1 57 D
12/04 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-0 23 W
04/04 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
2-0 3-0 86 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeonbuk Motors win (41%). Probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 41%, draw 32%, Gangwon FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Jeonbuk Motors 1.06 · Gangwon FC 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.