Prediction: FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC
Expected goals: 2.5 (FC Seoul 1.31 · Gangwon FC 1.18). The model gives 38% home, 30% draw, 32% away. Over 2 goals (57%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves FC Seoul with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Gangwon FC has piled up 6-3-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Seoul won 3 and Gangwon FC 2, with 1 draw.
| FC Seoul | Draw | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 31% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Seoul: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Seoul | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Seoul 3–1–2 Gangwon FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Seoul |
| 26/10/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 13/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 3-2 HT 1-0 | FC Seoul |
| 17/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 15/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Seoul |
| 20/10/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Seoul |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 25 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Seoul | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Incheon Utd | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Gwangju FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Ulsan HD | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Seoul
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Seoul win (38%). Probabilities: FC Seoul 38%, draw 30%, Gangwon FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?
The model expects 2.5 goals (FC Seoul 1.31 · Gangwon FC 1.18), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.