Prediction: Jeju United vs Daejeon Hana Citizen
Expected goals: 2.42 (Jeju United 1.16 · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.26). The model gives 33% home, 29% draw, 38% away. Over 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Jeju United sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Daejeon Hana Citizen arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Jeju United and 3 for Daejeon Hana Citizen, with 1 draw.
| Jeju United | Draw | Daejeon Hana Citizen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Daejeon Hana Citizen: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeju United | Daejeon Hana Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 1.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeju United 2–1–3 Daejeon Hana Citizen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Jeju United |
| 18/10/25 South Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Jeju United |
| 27/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Jeju United |
| 15/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
| 24/11/24 South Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Jeju United |
| 06/10/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 25 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeju United | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| FC Seoul | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Bucheon | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Incheon Utd | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Jeju United (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeju United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Daejeon Hana Citizen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeju United vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Daejeon Hana Citizen win (38%). Probabilities: Jeju United 33%, draw 29%, Daejeon Hana Citizen 38%.
How many goals are expected in Jeju United vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Jeju United 1.16 · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeju United vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.