Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon
Expected goals: 2.25 (Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.33 · Bucheon 0.92). The model gives 46% home, 29% draw, 25% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Gimcheon Sangmu FC is 2-4-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Bucheon 3-3-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 0 for Bucheon, with 1 draw.
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Draw | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 29% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 5 | 0.8 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 5–1–0 Bucheon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Bucheon | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 14/05/25 South Korea Cup | Bucheon | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 07/10/23 South Korea K League 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Bucheon |
| 01/07/23 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 15/04/23 South Korea K League 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Bucheon |
| 17/10/21 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | Gangwon FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 25 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Bucheon |
|---|---|---|
| Jeju United | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Anyang | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Incheon Utd | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Seoul | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bucheon (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
Bucheon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 21/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimcheon Sangmu FC win (46%). Probabilities: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 46%, draw 29%, Bucheon 25%.
How many goals are expected in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.33 · Bucheon 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.