Football · South Korea K League 1 · 12/07, 12:30

Prediction: Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang

Expected goals: 2.24 (Incheon Utd 1.31 · FC Anyang 0.93). The model gives 44% home, 30% draw, 26% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Incheon Utd with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; FC Anyang has piled up 3-5-2 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Incheon Utd won 1 and FC Anyang 1.

44%1
44% 30% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Incheon Utd 1515 · FC Anyang 1500
Incheon UtdDrawFC Anyang
Our model44%31%25%
Market45%29%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.24Incheon Utd 1.31 · FC Anyang 0.93
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Incheon UtdFC Anyang
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.81.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.31.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.14.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 101 FC Anyang

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
South Korea K League 1
FC Anyang0-1
HT 0-0
Incheon Utd
14/04/21
South Korea Cup
Incheon Utd0-3
HT 0-1
FC Anyang

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Seoul 161123 281235
2 Ulsan HD 16835 232127
3 Gangwon FC 16763 211127
4 Jeonbuk Motors 16754 221426
5 Pohang Steelers 16745 151425
6 Incheon Utd 16637 211821
7 FC Anyang 16484 211920
8 Jeju United 16547 141719
9 Bucheon 16466 131718
10 Daejeon Hana Citizen 16457 191817
11 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 16295 162215
12 Gwangju FC 161510 8388

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIncheon UtdFC Anyang
FC Seoul 0-1 L 0-0 D
Gwangju FC 4-0 W 5-2 W
Pohang Steelers 0-1 L 2-3 L
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-0 W 2-2 D
Jeju United 1-0 W 2-1 W
Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 W 1-1 D
Bucheon 2-2 D 0-1 L
Ulsan HD 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Incheon Utd (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Incheon Utd

LDWWLDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-1 34 L
16/05 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
2-0 4-0 52 W
12/05 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-1 74 L
09/05 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
2-0 3-0 46 W
05/05 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 71 D
02/05 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-1 35 L
25/04 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 55 W
21/04 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
1-1 2-1 15 W
18/04 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
2-0 2-2 54 D
11/04 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-2 33 L

FC Anyang

DWDWLDDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
1-1 2-3 15 L
17/05 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-1 24 W
13/05 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-2 13 D
10/05 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-1 72 D
05/05 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 36 D
02/05 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-1 54 L
26/04 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
3-0 5-2 28 W
22/04 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-1 13 D
19/04 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 36 W
12/04 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-1 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (44%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 44%, draw 30%, FC Anyang 26%.

How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Incheon Utd 1.31 · FC Anyang 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.