Prediction: Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang
Expected goals: 2.24 (Incheon Utd 1.31 · FC Anyang 0.93). The model gives 44% home, 30% draw, 26% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Incheon Utd with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; FC Anyang has piled up 3-5-2 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Incheon Utd won 1 and FC Anyang 1.
| Incheon Utd | Draw | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Incheon Utd | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 1–0–1 FC Anyang
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 14/04/21 South Korea Cup | Incheon Utd | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Anyang |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 25 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Incheon Utd | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Gwangju FC | 4-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Pohang Steelers | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Jeju United | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Bucheon | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Incheon Utd (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
FC Anyang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (44%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 44%, draw 30%, FC Anyang 26%.
How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Incheon Utd 1.31 · FC Anyang 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

