Football · South Korea K League 1 · 18/07, 12:30
Prediction: Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Gangwon FC1.57
Gimcheon Sangmu FC0.51
1X2
Gangwon FC
Draw
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gangwon FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gangwon FC
3–1–2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1566 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Gangwon FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gangwon FC | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 1.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangwon FC 3–1–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Gangwon FC |
| 08/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 09/08/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 11/05/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 30/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 26/10/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Pohang Steelers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gangwon FC | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Ulsan HD | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Incheon Utd | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangwon FC win (63%). Probabilities: Gangwon FC 63%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Gangwon FC 1.57 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.51), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.