Football · South Korea K League 1 · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Jeju United vs Gangwon FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Jeju United0.85
Gangwon FC0.98
1X2
Jeju United
Draw
Gangwon FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Jeju United
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gangwon FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jeju United
0–3–3
Gangwon FC
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1484 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Gangwon FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeju United | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeju United 0–3–3 Gangwon FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Jeju United |
| 15/08/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 06/05/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 02/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jeju United |
| 20/07/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Jeju United |
| 02/06/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Gangwon FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Pohang Steelers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Ulsan HD | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 23 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeju United | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Seoul | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Incheon Utd | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeju United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Gangwon FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeju United vs Gangwon FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gangwon FC win (36%). Probabilities: Jeju United 29%, draw 35%, Gangwon FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Jeju United vs Gangwon FC?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Jeju United 0.85 · Gangwon FC 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeju United vs Gangwon FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.