Football · South Korea K League 1 · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Ulsan HD vs Incheon Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Ulsan HD1.4
Incheon Utd1.07
1X2
Ulsan HD
Draw
Incheon Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ulsan HD
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Incheon Utd
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ulsan HD
3–3–0
Incheon Utd
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ulsan HD: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulsan HD | Incheon Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulsan HD 3–3–0 Incheon Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ulsan HD |
| 14/05/25 South Korea Cup | Ulsan HD | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 22/09/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ulsan HD |
| 17/07/24 South Korea Cup | Ulsan HD | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 29/05/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ulsan HD |
| 17/03/24 South Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Incheon Utd |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Pohang Steelers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Ulsan HD | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 23 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ulsan HD | Incheon Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Gwangju FC | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Gangwon FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Jeju United | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Pohang Steelers | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Anyang | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Incheon Utd (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulsan HD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulsan HD vs Incheon Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ulsan HD win (43%). Probabilities: Ulsan HD 43%, draw 29%, Incheon Utd 27%.
How many goals are expected in Ulsan HD vs Incheon Utd?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Ulsan HD 1.4 · Incheon Utd 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulsan HD vs Incheon Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.