Football · South Korea K League 1 · 23/08, 12:30
Prediction: Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gangwon FC
Team pages: Daejeon Hana Citizen · Gangwon FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Daejeon Hana Citizen1.11
Gangwon FC1.22
1X2
Daejeon Hana Citizen
Draw
Gangwon FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Daejeon Hana Citizen
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Gangwon FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Daejeon Hana Citizen
1–3–2
Gangwon FC
(6 last)
- Gangwon FC2-0Daejeon Hana Citizen
- Daejeon Hana Citizen0-2Gangwon FC
- Daejeon Hana Citizen1-1Gangwon FC
- Gangwon FC0-0Daejeon Hana Citizen
- Gangwon FC2-2Daejeon Hana Citizen
- Daejeon Hana Citizen1-0Gangwon FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1472 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Gangwon FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1–3–2 Gangwon FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
| 12/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 22/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 27/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
| 19/07/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
| 27/04/25 South Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 33 | 37 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 35 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 34 |
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 25 | 31 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 8 | Incheon Utd | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 27 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Daejeon Hana Citizen | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Anyang | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Ulsan HD | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Jeju United | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Bucheon | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daejeon Hana Citizen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 12/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/08 | Gamba Osaka AFC Champions League Qualification |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gangwon FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gangwon FC win (37%). Probabilities: Daejeon Hana Citizen 32%, draw 31%, Gangwon FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gangwon FC?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.11 · Gangwon FC 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gangwon FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.