Football · South Korea K League 1 · 18/07, 12:30
Prediction: Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Jeju United0.98
Pohang Steelers0.99
1X2
Jeju United
Draw
Pohang Steelers
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Jeju United
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Pohang Steelers
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jeju United
2–1–3
Pohang Steelers
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pohang Steelers (rating 1490 vs 1547).
- H2H favours Pohang Steelers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeju United | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeju United 2–1–3 Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Jeju United |
| 21/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jeju United |
| 21/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Jeju United |
| 20/04/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pohang Steelers |
| 28/08/24 South Korea Cup | Pohang Steelers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Jeju United |
| 21/08/24 South Korea Cup | Jeju United | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Pohang Steelers |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Pohang Steelers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeju United | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Anyang | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Bucheon | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Incheon Utd | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pohang Steelers (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeju United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Jeju United 33%, draw 34%, Pohang Steelers 33%.
How many goals are expected in Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Jeju United 0.98 · Pohang Steelers 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.