Football · South Korea K League 1 · 22/08, 12:30

Prediction: Bucheon vs Pohang Steelers

Team pages: Bucheon · Pohang Steelers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Bucheon1.17
Pohang Steelers1.27
1X2
33% 30% 37%
Bucheon Draw Pohang Steelers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bucheon 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDLLDWWDWD
Pohang Steelers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLLLWW
Head-to-head
Bucheon 2–1–0 Pohang Steelers (3 last)
  • Bucheon2-0Pohang Steelers
  • Pohang Steelers0-0Bucheon
  • Pohang Steelers0-2Bucheon
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bucheon 1528 · Pohang Steelers 1492
BucheonDrawPohang Steelers
Our model33%30%37%
Market33%30%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Bucheon: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BucheonPohang Steelers
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.21.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.81.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.12.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bucheon 210 Pohang Steelers

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
South Korea K League 1
Bucheon2-0
HT 0-0
Pohang Steelers
22/03/26
South Korea K League 1
Pohang Steelers0-0
HT 0-0
Bucheon
11/05/16
South Korea Cup
Pohang Steelers0-2
HT 0-0
Bucheon

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Seoul 231454 391947
2 Ulsan HD 231148 373337
3 Gangwon FC 22985 281935
4 Jeonbuk Motors 23977 302234
5 Jeju SK 23977 272434
6 Pohang Steelers 239410 222531
7 FC Anyang 23797 303030
8 Incheon Utd 22868 292530
9 Bucheon 23698 242727
10 Daejeon Hana Citizen 23689 292826
11 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 234136 232925
12 Gwangju FC 231814 124911

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBucheonPohang Steelers
Jeonbuk Motors 3-2 W 0-2 L
Gwangju FC 0-0 D 2-1 W
FC Anyang 2-3 L 3-2 W
FC Seoul 1-3 L 1-3 L
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bucheon

DDLLDWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Busan I Park
South Korea Cup
0-0 0-0 24 D
16/08 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
2-0 3-2 55 W
08/08 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 33 D
01/08 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-0 56 W
29/07 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea Cup
0-0 3-0 34 W
26/07 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-1 76 D
22/07 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
1-1 2-3 34 L
19/07 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-3 57 L
11/07 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
1-1 1-1 42 D
04/07 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
0-0 2-2 15 D

Pohang Steelers

LWWLLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea Cup
0-1 3-1 42 W
15/08 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-1 12 W
08/08 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-2 12 L
01/08 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-1 31 L
25/07 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-2 72 L
22/07 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-3 31 L
18/07 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-2 74 L
11/07 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-0 23 W
04/07 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
1-1 3-2 25 W
17/05 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-2 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bucheon vs Pohang Steelers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pohang Steelers win (37%). Probabilities: Bucheon 33%, draw 30%, Pohang Steelers 37%.

How many goals are expected in Bucheon vs Pohang Steelers?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Bucheon 1.17 · Pohang Steelers 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bucheon vs Pohang Steelers?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.