Prediction: St George City FA vs University NSW
Expected goals: 3.12 (St George City FA 1.6 · University NSW 1.52). The model gives 38% home, 27% draw, 35% away. Over 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves St George City FA with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; University NSW has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, St George City FA won 1 and University NSW 1.
| St George City FA | Draw | University NSW | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St George City FA | University NSW | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.6 / 2.4 | 2.6 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St George City FA 1–0–1 University NSW
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | University NSW | 2-4 HT 2-2 | St George City FA |
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | University NSW | 5-0 HT 2-0 | St George City FA |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 32 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | NWS Spirit FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Manly Utd | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 27 |
| 11 | SD Raiders | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | University NSW | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 25 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 19 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 47 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St George City FA | University NSW |
|---|---|---|
| Wollongong Wolves | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| SD Raiders | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| St George Saints | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Manly Utd | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Sutherland Sharks | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: St George City FA (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St George City FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | SD Raiders Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
University NSW
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St George City FA vs University NSW?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St George City FA win (38%). Probabilities: St George City FA 38%, draw 27%, University NSW 35%.
How many goals are expected in St George City FA vs University NSW?
The model expects 3.12 goals (St George City FA 1.6 · University NSW 1.52), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in St George City FA vs University NSW?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.