Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 19/07, 07:00

Prediction: Marconi Stallions vs Sydney United 58

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

Marconi Stallions1.23

Sydney United 580.75

1X2

48% 29% 23%

Marconi Stallions Draw Sydney United 58

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Marconi Stallions 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Sydney United 58 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Marconi Stallions 3–1–2 Sydney United 58 (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marconi Stallions 1566 · Sydney United 58 1557

	Marconi Stallions	Draw	Sydney United 58
Our model	46%	32%	21%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marconi Stallions	Sydney United 58
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.2	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.30

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 1.8

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

Over/Under 2.5

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marconi Stallions 3–1–2 Sydney United 58

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	1-0 HT 0-0	Marconi Stallions
03/09/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	1-1 HT 1-0	Sydney United 58
06/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	2-0 HT 1-0	Sydney United 58
23/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	1-2 HT 0-1	Marconi Stallions
27/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	2-1 HT 2-0	Sydney United 58
21/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	3-2 HT 0-2	Marconi Stallions

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	23	17	4	2	45	14	55
2	Apia L Tigers	23	16	3	4	47	27	51
3	Sydney United 58	23	15	3	5	34	17	48
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	23	11	3	9	36	32	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	23	11	2	10	36	30	35
6	Sydney FC U21	23	10	4	9	32	34	34
7	Wollongong Wolves	23	9	5	9	26	29	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	23	9	4	10	27	27	31
9	Manly Utd	23	8	6	9	25	29	30
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	23	8	5	10	42	34	29
11	University NSW	23	8	4	11	32	35	28
12	SD Raiders	23	7	5	11	30	39	26
13	St George City FA	23	6	7	10	22	37	25
14	Blacktown City	23	5	7	11	30	39	22
15	St George Saints	23	6	1	16	22	39	19
16	Sydney Olympic	23	5	3	15	25	49	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marconi Stallions	Sydney United 58
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	3-0 W	2-0 W
St George Saints	2-0 W	3-1 W
Blacktown City	2-0 W	0-0 D
University NSW	1-0 W	0-2 L
Sydney FC U21	0-0 D	0-1 L
Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Marconi Stallions (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Marconi Stallions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
21/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	10	D
07/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
30/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
24/05	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/05	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
09/05	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W

Sydney United 58

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
21/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
12/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
06/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
31/05	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	16	1	L
27/05	Blacktown City Australia Cup Qualifying	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
23/05	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
16/05	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marconi Stallions vs Sydney United 58?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marconi Stallions win (48%). Probabilities: Marconi Stallions 48%, draw 29%, Sydney United 58 23%.

How many goals are expected in Marconi Stallions vs Sydney United 58?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Marconi Stallions 1.23 · Sydney United 58 0.75), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Marconi Stallions vs Sydney United 58?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.