Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 18/07, 09:30
Prediction: Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Olympic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Sutherland Sharks1.86
Sydney Olympic1.28
1X2
Sutherland Sharks
Draw
Sydney Olympic
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sutherland Sharks
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Sydney Olympic
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutherland Sharks
3–1–2
Sydney Olympic
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutherland Sharks 1556 · Sydney Olympic 1485
| Sutherland Sharks | Draw | Sydney Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutherland Sharks (rating 1556 vs 1485).
- H2H favours Sutherland Sharks: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutherland Sharks | Sydney Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutherland Sharks 3–1–2 Sydney Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney Olympic | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 15/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney Olympic | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 01/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sutherland Sharks | 1-5 HT 1-4 | Sydney Olympic |
| 15/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney Olympic | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 09/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sutherland Sharks | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney Olympic |
| 20/05/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sutherland Sharks | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney Olympic |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 51 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | 32 |
| 8 | NWS Spirit FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | Manly Utd | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 29 |
| 11 | University NSW | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 28 |
| 12 | SD Raiders | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 26 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 22 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 22 | 39 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 49 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutherland Sharks | Sydney Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Blacktown City | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| St George Saints | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| NWS Spirit FC | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| SD Raiders | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| St George City FA | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutherland Sharks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
Sydney Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 27/05 | Fraser Park Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutherland Sharks win (50%). Probabilities: Sutherland Sharks 50%, draw 25%, Sydney Olympic 25%.
How many goals are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Olympic?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Sutherland Sharks 1.86 · Sydney Olympic 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Olympic?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.