Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 18/07, 10:30

Prediction: St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

St George Saints1.08

Rockdale Ilinden FC1.82

1X2

22% 24% 54%

St George Saints Draw Rockdale Ilinden FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

St George Saints 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Rockdale Ilinden FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

St George Saints 0–6 Rockdale Ilinden FC (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St George Saints 1405 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1512

	St George Saints	Draw	Rockdale Ilinden FC
Our model	21%	25%	53%
Market	22%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rockdale Ilinden FC (rating 1405 vs 1512).
H2H favours Rockdale Ilinden FC: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St George Saints	Rockdale Ilinden FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	3.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · St George Saints 0–0–6 Rockdale Ilinden FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	3-0 HT 3-0	St George Saints
01/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	3-1 HT 2-1	St George Saints
14/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George Saints	1-2 HT 0-0	Rockdale Ilinden FC
12/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George Saints	1-4 HT 0-2	Rockdale Ilinden FC
06/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	4-0 HT 1-0	St George Saints
12/02/22 Australia Friendlies	Rockdale Ilinden FC	3-2 HT 1-2	St George Saints

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	23	17	4	2	45	14	55
2	Apia L Tigers	23	16	3	4	47	27	51
3	Sydney United 58	23	15	3	5	34	17	48
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	23	11	3	9	36	32	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	23	11	2	10	36	30	35
6	Sydney FC U21	23	10	4	9	32	34	34
7	Wollongong Wolves	23	9	5	9	26	29	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	23	9	4	10	27	27	31
9	Manly Utd	23	8	6	9	25	29	30
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	23	8	5	10	42	34	29
11	University NSW	23	8	4	11	32	35	28
12	SD Raiders	23	7	5	11	30	39	26
13	St George City FA	23	6	7	10	22	37	25
14	Blacktown City	23	5	7	11	30	39	22
15	St George Saints	23	6	1	16	22	39	19
16	Sydney Olympic	23	5	3	15	25	49	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St George Saints	Rockdale Ilinden FC
NWS Spirit FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Marconi Stallions	0-2 L	1-1 D
Sydney Olympic	1-2 L	4-0 W
University NSW	4-1 W	0-2 L
Sydney United 58	1-3 L	0-1 L
Blacktown City	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rockdale Ilinden FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

St George Saints

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
05/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
27/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
20/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
13/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	4-1	2	5	W
06/06	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	14	2	L
30/05	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
24/05	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
16/05	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	1-3	4	4	L
10/05	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	2	L

Rockdale Ilinden FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
20/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
14/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
07/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
30/05	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
27/05	Apia L Tigers Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
24/05	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-5	4	5	L
16/05	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-2	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rockdale Ilinden FC win (54%). Probabilities: St George Saints 22%, draw 24%, Rockdale Ilinden FC 54%.

How many goals are expected in St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

The model expects 2.9 goals (St George Saints 1.08 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1.82), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.