Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 19/07, 07:00
Prediction: Blacktown City vs St George City FA
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Blacktown City1.55
St George City FA1.16
1X2
Blacktown City
Draw
St George City FA
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Blacktown City
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
St George City FA
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blacktown City
3–2–1
St George City FA
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blacktown City 1489 · St George City FA 1470
| Blacktown City | Draw | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Blacktown City: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blacktown City | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 0.6 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blacktown City 3–2–1 St George City FA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | St George City FA | 0-2 | Blacktown City |
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Blacktown City |
| 22/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Blacktown City | 3-1 HT 1-0 | St George City FA |
| 08/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Blacktown City |
| 28/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Blacktown City | 2-2 HT 1-1 | St George City FA |
| 29/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Blacktown City | 1-2 HT 1-0 | St George City FA |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 51 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | 32 |
| 8 | NWS Spirit FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | Manly Utd | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 29 |
| 11 | University NSW | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 28 |
| 12 | SD Raiders | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 26 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 22 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 22 | 39 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 49 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blacktown City | St George City FA |
|---|---|---|
| SD Raiders | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Apia L Tigers | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Manly Utd | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Sydney Olympic | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blacktown City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
St George City FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | SD Raiders Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blacktown City vs St George City FA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Blacktown City win (46%). Probabilities: Blacktown City 46%, draw 27%, St George City FA 28%.
How many goals are expected in Blacktown City vs St George City FA?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Blacktown City 1.55 · St George City FA 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Blacktown City vs St George City FA?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.