Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 18/07, 10:00

Prediction: Wollongong Wolves vs SD Raiders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Wollongong Wolves1.25

SD Raiders1.28

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Wollongong Wolves Draw SD Raiders

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wollongong Wolves 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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SD Raiders 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wollongong Wolves 0–1–1 SD Raiders (2 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Raiders (rating 1448 vs 1507).
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wollongong Wolves	SD Raiders
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.8	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.751.99

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.21 → 2.23▲	Pinn 2.23
X	3.59 → 3.52▼	Pinn 3.52
2	2.77 → 2.78▲	Pinn 2.78

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:15 +1’	2.21	3.59	2.77
12:10	2.22▲	3.55▼	2.78▲
13:11	2.23▲	3.52▼	2.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wollongong Wolves 0–1–1 SD Raiders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	SD Raiders	1-1 HT 1-1	Wollongong Wolves
22/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	SD Raiders	2-1 HT 0-1	Wollongong Wolves

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	23	17	4	2	45	14	55
2	Apia L Tigers	23	16	3	4	47	27	51
3	Sydney United 58	23	15	3	5	34	17	48
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	23	11	3	9	36	32	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	23	11	2	10	36	30	35
6	Sydney FC U21	23	10	4	9	32	34	34
7	Wollongong Wolves	23	9	5	9	26	29	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	23	9	4	10	27	27	31
9	Manly Utd	23	8	6	9	25	29	30
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	23	8	5	10	42	34	29
11	University NSW	23	8	4	11	32	35	28
12	SD Raiders	23	7	5	11	30	39	26
13	St George City FA	23	6	7	10	22	37	25
14	Blacktown City	23	5	7	11	30	39	22
15	St George Saints	23	6	1	16	22	39	19
16	Sydney Olympic	23	5	3	15	25	49	18

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wollongong Wolves	SD Raiders
Sydney Olympic	2-3 L	1-1 D
St George City FA	3-3 D	3-1 W
Sydney FC U21	2-3 L	0-1 L
University NSW	0-1 L	2-0 W
Manly Utd	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SD Raiders (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wollongong Wolves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	1	0	L
05/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	3-3	8	0	D
27/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
07/06	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
30/05	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
24/05	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
16/05	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
09/05	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

SD Raiders

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia Cup	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
11/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
04/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
30/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
27/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	3-1	5	0	W
21/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
14/06	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
10/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
06/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
16/05	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wollongong Wolves vs SD Raiders?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SD Raiders win (36%). Probabilities: Wollongong Wolves 35%, draw 29%, SD Raiders 36%.

How many goals are expected in Wollongong Wolves vs SD Raiders?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Wollongong Wolves 1.25 · SD Raiders 1.28), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wollongong Wolves vs SD Raiders?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.