Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 30/08, 07:00

Prediction: Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC

Team pages: Marconi Stallions · NWS Spirit FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Marconi Stallions1.55

NWS Spirit FC0.96

1X2

50% 27% 23%

Marconi Stallions Draw NWS Spirit FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Marconi Stallions 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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NWS Spirit FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Marconi Stallions 4–2 NWS Spirit FC (6 last)

NWS Spirit FC0-3Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions0-5NWS Spirit FC
NWS Spirit FC1-2Marconi Stallions
NWS Spirit FC1-0Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions2-1NWS Spirit FC
Marconi Stallions5-1NWS Spirit FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marconi Stallions 1527 · NWS Spirit FC 1507

	Marconi Stallions	Draw	NWS Spirit FC
Our model	50%	28%	22%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marconi Stallions	NWS Spirit FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.50

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:27 +3’	1.70	3.60	4.00
01:20 +2’	1.75▲	3.50▼	3.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marconi Stallions 4–0–2 NWS Spirit FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Marconi Stallions
26/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	0-5 HT 0-2	NWS Spirit FC
12/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Marconi Stallions
08/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Marconi Stallions
02/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	2-1 HT 1-0	NWS Spirit FC
22/07/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	5-1 HT 3-1	NWS Spirit FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	29	20	5	4	62	33	65
2	Sydney United 58	29	19	4	6	41	20	61
3	Marconi Stallions	29	19	4	6	49	21	61
4	Sutherland Sharks	29	14	4	11	45	36	46
5	Manly Utd	29	11	8	10	35	35	41
6	Sydney FC U21	29	11	7	11	37	42	40
7	NWS Spirit FC	29	12	4	13	36	37	40
8	SD Raiders	29	11	5	13	42	48	38
9	Wollongong Wolves	29	11	5	13	35	39	38
10	Rockdale Ilinden FC	29	11	4	14	44	44	37
11	St George City FA	29	10	7	12	28	42	37
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	29	10	5	14	52	48	35
13	Blacktown City	29	9	8	12	42	43	35
14	University NSW	29	9	5	15	38	47	32
15	St George Saints	29	8	3	18	28	49	27
16	Sydney Olympic	29	6	4	19	31	61	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marconi Stallions	NWS Spirit FC
Manly Utd	1-3 L	4-0 W
St George City FA	0-1 L	0-1 L
SD Raiders	1-2 L	1-0 W
Sydney United 58	0-1 L	0-2 L
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	3-0 W	0-4 L
St George Saints	2-0 W	3-1 W
Blacktown City	2-0 W	3-1 W
University NSW	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Marconi Stallions (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marconi Stallions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
16/08	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
08/08	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	1-3	1	1	L
02/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
25/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
19/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	3	W
21/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

NWS Spirit FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	10	W
15/08	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
08/08	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-1	6	2	W
02/08	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
25/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-4	8	0	L
18/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	1	5	L
11/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
05/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	1	D
27/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	2-0	11	3	W
20/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marconi Stallions win (50%). Probabilities: Marconi Stallions 50%, draw 27%, NWS Spirit FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Marconi Stallions 1.55 · NWS Spirit FC 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.