Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 21/08, 11:30

Prediction: Sydney FC U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC

Team pages: Sydney FC U21 · Rockdale Ilinden FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Sydney FC U211.14

Rockdale Ilinden FC1.7

1X2

25% 26% 50%

Sydney FC U21 Draw Rockdale Ilinden FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney FC U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Rockdale Ilinden FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sydney FC U21 0–2–4 Rockdale Ilinden FC (6 last)

Rockdale Ilinden FC3-0Sydney FC U21
Sydney FC U212-2Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC2-1Sydney FC U21
Sydney FC U211-2Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC3-1Sydney FC U21
Sydney FC U212-2Rockdale Ilinden FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney FC U21 1478 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1488

	Sydney FC U21	Draw	Rockdale Ilinden FC
Our model	24%	26%	49%
Market	25%	25%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rockdale Ilinden FC: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney FC U21	Rockdale Ilinden FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.60

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.80 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:06 +9’	3.60	3.60	1.80
09:30 +3’	3.50▼	3.60	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney FC U21 0–2–4 Rockdale Ilinden FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	3-0 HT 3-0	Sydney FC U21
31/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	2-2 HT 1-2	Rockdale Ilinden FC
18/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Sydney FC U21
19/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	1-2 HT 0-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC
12/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	3-1 HT 1-1	Sydney FC U21
18/08/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	2-2 HT 1-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	28	20	4	4	62	33	64
2	Sydney United 58	28	19	3	6	41	20	60
3	Marconi Stallions	28	18	4	6	48	21	58
4	Sutherland Sharks	28	13	4	11	43	35	43
5	SD Raiders	28	11	5	12	42	47	38
6	Manly Utd	28	10	8	10	33	35	38
7	Rockdale Ilinden FC	28	11	4	13	43	42	37
8	Sydney FC U21	28	10	7	11	35	41	37
9	St George City FA	28	10	7	11	27	40	37
10	NWS Spirit FC	28	11	4	13	35	37	37
11	Blacktown City	28	9	8	11	42	42	35
12	Wollongong Wolves	28	10	5	13	32	39	35
13	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	28	10	5	13	52	45	35
14	University NSW	28	9	5	14	38	45	32
15	St George Saints	28	7	3	18	27	49	24
16	Sydney Olympic	28	6	4	18	31	60	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney FC U21	Rockdale Ilinden FC
St George City FA	0-2 L	0-1 L
Sutherland Sharks	1-1 D	1-3 L
St George Saints	0-0 D	6-1 W
Manly Utd	0-0 D	1-1 D
Apia L Tigers	1-2 L	2-0 W
SD Raiders	1-0 W	0-1 L
Sydney United 58	1-0 W	0-1 L
Wollongong Wolves	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney FC U21 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney FC U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
08/08	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
02/08	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-4	2	0	L
25/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
17/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
11/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
04/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	2-3	5	0	L
30/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
21/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	3-2	4	6	W

Rockdale Ilinden FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
08/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	12	4	L
02/08	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
26/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
18/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-1	6-1	1	5	W
12/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
20/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
14/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney FC U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rockdale Ilinden FC win (50%). Probabilities: Sydney FC U21 25%, draw 26%, Rockdale Ilinden FC 50%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney FC U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Sydney FC U21 1.14 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1.7), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney FC U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.