Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 22/08, 08:00

Prediction: Sutherland Sharks vs St George City FA

Team pages: Sutherland Sharks · St George City FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Sutherland Sharks1.58

St George City FA0.98

1X2

51% 26% 23%

Sutherland Sharks Draw St George City FA

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sutherland Sharks 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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St George City FA 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Sutherland Sharks 0–1–5 St George City FA (6 last)

St George City FA1-0Sutherland Sharks
St George City FA1-0Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks0-3St George City FA
Sutherland Sharks0-1St George City FA
St George City FA1-1Sutherland Sharks
St George City FA3-1Sutherland Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutherland Sharks 1522 · St George City FA 1535

	Sutherland Sharks	Draw	St George City FA
Our model	50%	28%	22%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours St George City FA: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutherland Sharks	St George City FA
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.8	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:48 +9’	1.73	3.60	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutherland Sharks 0–1–5 St George City FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	1-0 HT 0-0	Sutherland Sharks
02/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	1-0 HT 0-0	Sutherland Sharks
19/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	0-3 HT 0-2	St George City FA
17/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	0-1 HT 0-0	St George City FA
11/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	1-1 HT 1-1	Sutherland Sharks
13/08/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	3-1 HT 0-0	Sutherland Sharks

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	28	20	4	4	62	33	64
2	Sydney United 58	28	19	3	6	41	20	60
3	Marconi Stallions	28	18	4	6	48	21	58
4	Sutherland Sharks	28	13	4	11	43	35	43
5	SD Raiders	28	11	5	12	42	47	38
6	Manly Utd	28	10	8	10	33	35	38
7	Rockdale Ilinden FC	28	11	4	13	43	42	37
8	Sydney FC U21	28	10	7	11	35	41	37
9	St George City FA	28	10	7	11	27	40	37
10	NWS Spirit FC	28	11	4	13	35	37	37
11	Blacktown City	28	9	8	11	42	42	35
12	Wollongong Wolves	28	10	5	13	32	39	35
13	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	28	10	5	13	52	45	35
14	University NSW	28	9	5	14	38	45	32
15	St George Saints	28	7	3	18	27	49	24
16	Sydney Olympic	28	6	4	18	31	60	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutherland Sharks	St George City FA
Marconi Stallions	0-1 L	1-0 W
Sydney FC U21	1-1 D	2-0 W
Wollongong Wolves	2-1 W	3-3 D
Rockdale Ilinden FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
University NSW	3-1 W	0-2 L
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	3-0 W	1-1 D
Blacktown City	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sutherland Sharks (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sutherland Sharks

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
08/08	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
26/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
18/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
11/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
04/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
20/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
13/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	3	L

St George City FA

DWLDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	2-0	7	0	W
08/08	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
02/08	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
25/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
11/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-3	3	0	D
27/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
20/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
13/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutherland Sharks vs St George City FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutherland Sharks win (51%). Probabilities: Sutherland Sharks 51%, draw 26%, St George City FA 23%.

How many goals are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs St George City FA?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Sutherland Sharks 1.58 · St George City FA 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutherland Sharks vs St George City FA?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.