Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 23/08, 07:00

Prediction: Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions

Team pages: Sydney Olympic · Marconi Stallions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Sydney Olympic0.79

Marconi Stallions1.7

1X2

17% 24% 59%

Sydney Olympic Draw Marconi Stallions

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney Olympic 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLLLWL

Marconi Stallions 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Sydney Olympic 2–2–2 Marconi Stallions (6 last)

Marconi Stallions2-0Sydney Olympic
Sydney Olympic0-0Marconi Stallions
Sydney Olympic2-0Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions1-1Sydney Olympic
Marconi Stallions0-4Sydney Olympic
Sydney Olympic1-2Marconi Stallions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney Olympic 1448 · Marconi Stallions 1509

	Sydney Olympic	Draw	Marconi Stallions
Our model	16%	26%	58%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marconi Stallions (rating 1448 vs 1509).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney Olympic	Marconi Stallions
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.00

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:33 +2’	5.00	4.00	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney Olympic 2–2–2 Marconi Stallions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	2-0 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic
29/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Sydney Olympic	0-0	Marconi Stallions
21/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney Olympic	2-0 HT 1-0	Marconi Stallions
08/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	1-1 HT 0-1	Sydney Olympic
12/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	0-4 HT 0-2	Sydney Olympic
06/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney Olympic	1-2 HT 1-1	Marconi Stallions

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	28	20	4	4	62	33	64
2	Sydney United 58	28	19	3	6	41	20	60
3	Marconi Stallions	28	18	4	6	48	21	58
4	Sutherland Sharks	28	13	4	11	43	35	43
5	SD Raiders	28	11	5	12	42	47	38
6	Manly Utd	28	10	8	10	33	35	38
7	Rockdale Ilinden FC	28	11	4	13	43	42	37
8	Sydney FC U21	28	10	7	11	35	41	37
9	St George City FA	28	10	7	11	27	40	37
10	NWS Spirit FC	28	11	4	13	35	37	37
11	Blacktown City	28	9	8	11	42	42	35
12	Wollongong Wolves	28	10	5	13	32	39	35
13	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	28	10	5	13	52	45	35
14	University NSW	28	9	5	14	38	45	32
15	St George Saints	28	7	3	18	27	49	24
16	Sydney Olympic	28	6	4	18	31	60	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney Olympic	Marconi Stallions
Sydney United 58	1-2 L	0-1 L
University NSW	3-1 W	1-0 W
Manly Utd	0-4 L	1-3 L
Sutherland Sharks	1-1 D	1-0 W
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	1-2 L	3-0 W
St George Saints	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Marconi Stallions (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sydney Olympic

LWLWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
08/08	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
02/08	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	1-3	2	1	L
30/07	Brisbane Roar Australia Cup	0-0	0-3	6	2	L
24/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
18/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
11/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	3-2	3	0	W
04/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
27/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
20/06	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-3	0-4	0	1	L

Marconi Stallions

DWWWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
08/08	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	1-3	1	1	L
02/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
25/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
19/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
21/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Marconi Stallions win (59%). Probabilities: Sydney Olympic 17%, draw 24%, Marconi Stallions 59%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Sydney Olympic 0.79 · Marconi Stallions 1.7), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.