Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 23/08, 07:00

Prediction: Wollongong Wolves vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Team pages: Wollongong Wolves · Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Wollongong Wolves1.81

Western Sydney Wanderers U211.61

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Wollongong Wolves Draw Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wollongong Wolves 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Western Sydney Wanderers U21 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Wollongong Wolves 2–3–1 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 (6 last)

Western Sydney Wanderers U210-0Wollongong Wolves
Western Sydney Wanderers U211-1Wollongong Wolves
Wollongong Wolves4-0Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Western Sydney Wanderers U210-2Wollongong Wolves
Wollongong Wolves0-2Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Western Sydney Wanderers U212-2Wollongong Wolves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wollongong Wolves 1421 · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1465

	Wollongong Wolves	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Western Sydney Wanderers U21 (rating 1421 vs 1465).
H2H favours Wollongong Wolves: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wollongong Wolves	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:30 +5’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wollongong Wolves 2–3–1 Western Sydney Wanderers U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	0-0 HT 0-0	Wollongong Wolves
28/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	1-1 HT 1-0	Wollongong Wolves
16/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	4-0 HT 3-0	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
29/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	0-2 HT 0-1	Wollongong Wolves
24/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	0-2 HT 0-0	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
17/06/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	2-2 HT 2-1	Wollongong Wolves

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	28	20	4	4	62	33	64
2	Sydney United 58	28	19	3	6	41	20	60
3	Marconi Stallions	28	18	4	6	48	21	58
4	Sutherland Sharks	28	13	4	11	43	35	43
5	SD Raiders	28	11	5	12	42	47	38
6	Manly Utd	28	10	8	10	33	35	38
7	Rockdale Ilinden FC	28	11	4	13	43	42	37
8	Sydney FC U21	28	10	7	11	35	41	37
9	St George City FA	28	10	7	11	27	40	37
10	NWS Spirit FC	28	11	4	13	35	37	37
11	Blacktown City	28	9	8	11	42	42	35
12	Wollongong Wolves	28	10	5	13	32	39	35
13	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	28	10	5	13	52	45	35
14	University NSW	28	9	5	14	38	45	32
15	St George Saints	28	7	3	18	27	49	24
16	Sydney Olympic	28	6	4	18	31	60	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wollongong Wolves	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Sutherland Sharks	1-2 L	0-3 L
SD Raiders	2-3 L	0-3 L
Sydney Olympic	2-3 L	2-1 W
St George City FA	3-3 D	1-1 D
NWS Spirit FC	0-2 L	4-0 W
Apia L Tigers	0-2 L	3-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wollongong Wolves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
09/08	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	9	3	L
01/08	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
26/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
18/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-1	2-3	3	8	L
11/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	1	0	L
05/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	3-3	8	0	D
27/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	0	L

Western Sydney Wanderers U21

DLDWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
08/08	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-3	3	7	L
01/08	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
25/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	4-0	2	0	W
18/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-2	3-5	3	4	L
12/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
04/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
20/06	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
13/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wollongong Wolves vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wollongong Wolves win (41%). Probabilities: Wollongong Wolves 41%, draw 26%, Western Sydney Wanderers U21 33%.

How many goals are expected in Wollongong Wolves vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Wollongong Wolves 1.81 · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1.61), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wollongong Wolves vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.