Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 14/08, 11:30
Prediction: Sydney FC U21 vs St George City FA
Team pages: Sydney FC U21 · St George City FA
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Sydney FC U211.4
St George City FA1.21
1X2
Sydney FC U21
Draw
St George City FA
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sydney FC U21
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
St George City FA
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sydney FC U21
4–2
St George City FA
(6 last)
- St George City FA0-5Sydney FC U21
- Sydney FC U213-1St George City FA
- St George City FA5-0Sydney FC U21
- St George City FA1-2Sydney FC U21
- Sydney FC U211-3St George City FA
- St George City FA3-4Sydney FC U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney FC U21 1527 · St George City FA 1497
| Sydney FC U21 | Draw | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sydney FC U21: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney FC U21 | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 1.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney FC U21 4–0–2 St George City FA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 06/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | St George City FA |
| 22/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 06/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 01/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 1-3 HT 0-1 | St George City FA |
| 15/07/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Sydney FC U21 |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apia L Tigers | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | Sydney United 58 | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 19 | 57 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 34 | 43 |
| 5 | SD Raiders | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 44 | 38 |
| 6 | Manly Utd | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 38 |
| 7 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 37 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U21 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 37 |
| 9 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 43 | 35 |
| 10 | Blacktown City | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 34 |
| 11 | NWS Spirit FC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 37 | 34 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 34 |
| 13 | Wollongong Wolves | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 32 |
| 14 | University NSW | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 45 | 31 |
| 15 | Sydney Olympic | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 58 | 22 |
| 16 | St George Saints | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 48 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sydney FC U21 | St George City FA |
|---|---|---|
| Blacktown City | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| University NSW | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| SD Raiders | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Sydney United 58 | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Wollongong Wolves | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Marconi Stallions | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney FC U21 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney FC U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
St George City FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney FC U21 vs St George City FA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney FC U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Sydney FC U21 40%, draw 28%, St George City FA 31%.
How many goals are expected in Sydney FC U21 vs St George City FA?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Sydney FC U21 1.4 · St George City FA 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sydney FC U21 vs St George City FA?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.