Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 15/08, 07:00
Prediction: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St George Saints
Team pages: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 · St George Saints
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Western Sydney Wanderers U211.9
St George Saints1.53
1X2
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw
St George Saints
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
St George Saints
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
5–1–0
St George Saints
(6 last)
- St George Saints0-4Western Sydney Wanderers U21
- Western Sydney Wanderers U213-0St George Saints
- St George Saints0-3Western Sydney Wanderers U21
- St George Saints2-2Western Sydney Wanderers U21
- Western Sydney Wanderers U214-2St George Saints
- St George Saints1-3Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1494 · St George Saints 1405
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | Draw | St George Saints | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Western Sydney Wanderers U21 (rating 1494 vs 1405).
- H2H favours Western Sydney Wanderers U21: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | St George Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 5–1–0 St George Saints
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
| 23/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 3-0 HT 1-0 | St George Saints |
| 09/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
| 06/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
| 30/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 4-2 HT 3-2 | St George Saints |
| 30/07/22 Australia New South Wales League 1 | St George Saints | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apia L Tigers | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | Sydney United 58 | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 19 | 57 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 34 | 43 |
| 5 | SD Raiders | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 44 | 38 |
| 6 | Manly Utd | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 38 |
| 7 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 37 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U21 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 37 |
| 9 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 43 | 35 |
| 10 | Blacktown City | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 34 |
| 11 | NWS Spirit FC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 37 | 34 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 34 |
| 13 | Wollongong Wolves | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 32 |
| 14 | University NSW | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 45 | 31 |
| 15 | Sydney Olympic | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 58 | 22 |
| 16 | St George Saints | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 48 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | St George Saints |
|---|---|---|
| SD Raiders | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| University NSW | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| NWS Spirit FC | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Apia L Tigers | 3-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Marconi Stallions | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Sydney Olympic | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Manly Utd | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Sutherland Sharks | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: St George Saints (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
3-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
St George Saints
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St George Saints?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Western Sydney Wanderers U21 win (45%). Probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 45%, draw 25%, St George Saints 30%.
How many goals are expected in Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St George Saints?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1.9 · St George Saints 1.53), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St George Saints?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.