Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 08/08, 09:00

Prediction: Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions

Team pages: Manly Utd · Marconi Stallions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Manly Utd0.94

Marconi Stallions1.54

1X2

23% 26% 51%

Manly Utd Draw Marconi Stallions

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Manly Utd 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DLDWDWWDWD

Marconi Stallions 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWLLL

Head-to-head

Manly Utd 0–1–5 Marconi Stallions (6 last)

Marconi Stallions4-1Manly Utd
Marconi Stallions4-2Manly Utd
Manly Utd0-3Marconi Stallions
Manly Utd0-1Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions2-1Manly Utd
Manly Utd1-1Marconi Stallions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manly Utd 1524 · Marconi Stallions 1519

	Manly Utd	Draw	Marconi Stallions
Our model	22%	28%	50%
Market	23%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manly Utd	Marconi Stallions
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.60

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.77

2 (-0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
09:01 +13’	3.80	3.60	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manly Utd 0–1–5 Marconi Stallions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	4-1 HT 3-0	Manly Utd
17/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	4-2 HT 0-0	Manly Utd
02/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	0-3 HT 0-1	Marconi Stallions
19/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	0-1 HT 0-0	Marconi Stallions
13/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	2-1 HT 1-0	Manly Utd
08/07/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	1-1 HT 0-1	Marconi Stallions

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	26	19	3	4	59	32	60
2	Marconi Stallions	26	17	4	5	46	18	55
3	Sydney United 58	26	17	3	6	37	18	54
4	Sutherland Sharks	26	13	3	10	42	33	42
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	26	11	4	11	42	39	37
6	Sydney FC U21	26	10	6	10	34	38	36
7	SD Raiders	26	10	5	11	38	44	35
8	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	26	10	5	11	51	40	35
9	Manly Utd	26	9	8	9	30	30	35
10	Blacktown City	26	9	7	10	41	39	34
11	Wollongong Wolves	26	9	5	12	29	36	32
12	University NSW	26	9	4	13	37	42	31
13	NWS Spirit FC	26	9	4	13	28	36	31
14	St George City FA	26	8	7	11	24	40	31
15	St George Saints	26	6	2	18	25	48	20
16	Sydney Olympic	26	5	4	17	27	57	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manly Utd	Marconi Stallions
Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Sydney FC U21	0-0 D	0-0 D
SD Raiders	1-0 W	1-2 L
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	3-3 D	3-0 W
St George Saints	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sydney United 58	1-1 D	0-1 L
Blacktown City	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manly Utd

DLDWDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
24/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/07	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
04/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
27/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-1	3-3	2	4	D
20/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
12/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
06/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
30/05	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Marconi Stallions

DWDWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
25/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
19/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
21/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	10	D
07/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
30/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Marconi Stallions win (51%). Probabilities: Manly Utd 23%, draw 26%, Marconi Stallions 51%.

How many goals are expected in Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Manly Utd 0.94 · Marconi Stallions 1.54), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.